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Risk Management Confidential
In-depth interviews with risk managers reveal just how
far financial firms have come and how far they have to go.
By James De Perna and David Kaszovitz
Risk management is alive and well at Wall Street's major broker-dealer
firms, judging from a recent study of the risk management systems and procedures
of several large and well-respected dealers.
The study was done as a part of course work in a graduate class in risk
management systems taught by professor Allan Grody at New York University's
Stern School of Business. It shed new light on how the risk management discipline
began at these firms, what industry factors were responsible for its genesis,
who nurtured it along, and how various layers of management responded to
the new phenomenon. The study also examined the popular techniques, technologies
and vendors that dealers utilize, and what problems they encountered while
bringing a risk management system to fruition.
The writers interviewed managers from a variety of different kinds of
dealers: U.S. broker/dealers, European banks, Asian securities firms and
U.S. investment banks. The hope was to select firms with diverse specializations
and management cultures, which might in turn represent a small cross-section
of the industry as a whole. Interviews were conducted during November and
December 1996.
Each firm's efforts are closely connected to their history, culture and
specializations. At one firm, a risk-enlightened upper management team has
led to a top-down evolution of risk management philosophies. At another,
risk management is growing from the bottom up, largely reflecting the traditional
underpinnings of the firm. Securities firms are turning to third-party vendors
as a way to establish a risk management system quickly. It is also evident,
however, that given the necessary resources, many managers would prefer
to develop their own systems internally.
The biggest obstacle to implementing global risk management systems appears
to be the integration of disparate systems and data. It's also clear that
designing and implementing a risk management system requires years of commitment
from dozens or even hundreds of people, as well as financial and strategic
support from top management.
What follows are not profiles of particular companies, but rather composite
portraits made from profiles of several different firms with similar characteristics.
U.S. broker-dealer
The firm is one of the world's leading securities houses. We interviewed
one of the key individuals charged with keeping it on the straight and narrow
path in terms of risk. He writes his own ad-hoc pricing applications for
the derivatives desk, using Small Talk or C++ running on UNIX servers. He
also serves as the intermediary between upper-level management and a team
of software programmers who develop the algorithms, front-end displays and
automated tools that keep the department going. The firm is not heavily
involved in speculative trading activities for its own account. Within the
derivatives group, the function of risk management can be distilled down
to the pricing of its proprietary derivative instruments, which it sells
to institutional customers. The overriding goal is for the firm to realize
an expected return on capital that is adequate for the risks it believes
it is taking. Avoiding valuation mistakes is also a prime concern. The risk
management unit strives to have the utmost confidence in the pricing of
its instruments before a contract is issued to its customers.
The concept of risk management has undergone noticeable changes. "Risk
management has gone from being totally nonexistent to being somewhat systematized,"
remarks the executive. "Today, top managers have a pretty good idea
of what our exposures are by asset class and by long or short positions.
They're also tuned in to the volatility picture, including the implications
of gamma risk. A few years ago, these same managers probably could only
tell you about the cash capital we were using, the regulatory capital we
were using and our total aggregate position. Today, they're a lot more sophisticated."
The firm does not hedge its portfolio. This primarily is a function of
the nature of its products: the group specializes in equities, equity swaps
and knockout options-up-and-out and down-and-out calls and puts-which he
says constitute a large portion of the unit's business. (A knockout option
expires worthless if the underlying instrument reaches a certain level above
the strike price. In contrast, a conventional option does not expire until
its expiration date, regardless of what happens to the underlying instrument's
price.) Because of this unique characteristic, knockout options are typically
struck at-the-money. Buyers of these options include hedge funds as well
as other private, highly-leveraged investors. However, these options are
not designed for all investors. For instance, institutions that desire to
protect their downside exposure would not purchase up-and-out puts because
their protection could easily disappear if the underlying goes against them.
Knockouts are generally popular with speculatively oriented investors.
The firm is mainly a seller of these knockout options. "It's only
at the knockout price that we view an instrument as having any kind of gamma
risk, but we essentially ignore that, except on a position-by-position basis,
because we are very highly diversified across asset classes, markets and
option types."
The firm will write options on virtually any debt, equity, currency or
commodity instrument it can track in the marketplace, but not any structure.
"For instance, we wouldn't sell 10 percent out-of-the-money conventional
puts on the S&P 500," he explains. "There's a huge universe
of things we won't do. If we were going to add any one of those things to
our menu of offerings, we'd pretty much have to add the whole universe because
it would make the risk exposure of our book way out of balance. Our whole
risk management picture would change."
The unit is most concerned about volatility connected with event risk.
If the firm writes a knockout option on a single stock, a worst-case scenario
could involve a disastrous piece of news about the company that wreaks havoc
on the stock price. "That's extreme gamma risk," he says. "The
stock is no longer behaving in a log-normal way. Everything you ever modeled
is completely wrong, and you lose a lot of money." He believes that
event risk is less problematic in currency and interest-rate markets, because
economic trends and their associated risks are usually apparent weeks in
advance. Unlike swings in stock prices, major currency devaluations rarely
occur overnight.
Only a relatively small number of individuals at the firm have the authority
to trade on behalf of the firm. This situation drastically reduces the risks
that the firm could be severely affected by fraudulent behavior. Even if
trading were to be opened up to the masses, he doesn't think trader control
would present a problem. "Nobody's paid 20 percent of P&L, so there's
no incentive to take huge risks and jeopardize the ongoing franchise for
a one-time payoff."
As the firm expanded its business into a variety of different asset classes,
risk management began to blossom. When he first joined, the company's business
was almost exclusively dedicated to U.S. equities. Throughout the decade,
however, it broadened its portfolio to include derivatives based on international
equities, a move attributed to changing customer demand. Today, global diversification
is the operative term. "As our presence in overseas markets got bigger
and bigger, the concerns of top management grew proportionately," he
says. "For instance, management would find it difficult to accept that
$2 billion worth of three-month Japanese deposits are no more risky than
$75 million invested in the S&P 500." That kind of management naiveté
pushed the derivatives group to delineate the risk characteristics of its
book quite explicitly, so that top management could fully comprehend and
support the new business opportunities it was pursuing. "Every time
you try to do something you haven't done before, management wants to know
why. Are you going to make money or lose money? Risk management theory gave
us the ammunition to quantify our assertions and explain the risk-return
tradeoffs."
Much of the knowledge needed to make risk management a reality at the
firm has come from outside sources. The company's internal culture is deeply
oriented toward fundamental equity research-its traditional strength. As
its business evolved, management began hiring managers in various parts
of the firm, which has had the effect of substantially elevating the level
of financial risk management expertise. "The firm also hired a bunch
of younger guys, like me, who came out of business schools in the last 10
years with risk management on the brain," he explains. "All the
knowledge that gets 'hired' has a tendency over time to flow upward through
the management ranks, as the firm tries things that it has never tried before."
Clearly, with the recent infusion of new blood, risk management is still
in its early formative years. Currently, there is no centralized risk management
function in place at the firm. In a macro sense, management practices a
degree of risk management by deciding to commit capital to various businesses.
"Right now, the only mechanism the firm has to control risk at the
trading desk level is the capital allocation process," he says. "Unfortunately,
this is not a forward-looking process; it's backward-looking. The areas
that have generated high returns over the last year will get a capital boost.
The areas that generated low returns will get cut a little. To my knowledge,
these adjustments are not based on risk, other than in an ad-hoc heuristic
kind of way."
Compared with other top dealers, the firm is still operating in a learning
and testing mode when it comes to risk management. It does not maintain
a book that can be analyzed real-time. There is no system in place that
centralizes risk management in a way that somebody can look at the firm's
total portfolio, assimilate it and play "what if" scenarios. At
the present time, the only real risk reporting that goes on in this manager's
area are weekly hand-prepared reports delivered to senior level managers.
These reports shows exposures and Value-at-Risk-type numbers for the firm's
derivative products group. He feels that most of those who receive the report
do not understand its implications. "I think they look at it to figure
out how much money we're making," he explains with a smile.
So what's in the future for risk management? He would like to see the
firm establish capital usage criteria, on a trade basis as well as on a
business-wide basis, according to the risks that are undertaken. He has
had discussions with members of management on this subject, and they agree
that risk-based capital allocation would represent a significant and welcome
initiative for the firm. He realizes that such steps take time, however,
given the firm's relatively recent foray into risk management. But the signs
thus far look promising. "You have to crawl before you can walk,"
he adds optimistically.
European bank
This European bank is one of the world's leading banking institutions,
as well as a leading dealer in virtually every worldwide financial market.
In the United States, the risk management group was formed a number of years
ago to establish a risk control function for the bank's U.S. operations,
and then to devise and institute a uniform approach for examining risk across
all the bank's businesses. That led to the development of an independent
risk-control unit that is completely separate from all the trading divisions.
The group's jurisdiction now spans all trading and credit products in North
America.
The group began by developing a VAR system, which gave rise to a broader
scope of risk surveillance, including all product control functions-P&L
reporting and analysis, price variance and financial model review. The group
monitors risk activities and establishes global trading limits based on
VAR.
Aside from the risk monitoring function, the firm also boasts a risk
management group that supports the fixed-income, treasury and derivatives
areas of the bank. "Risk Management is a function that looks to opine
on the risks that are being taken, for the express purpose of determining
whether the risks are justified," says the risk manager. "Certain
business units-like in derivatives-have their own people who are making
suggestions along those lines. 'Is this a good risk that we should take,
or not?' Or, 'What do we think of the relationship between two specific
risk variables?'"
In contrast, the firm's risk monitoring group is completely detached
from the bank's business lines. It is an autonomous and objective group
whose job is to assess the risks that are being taken, to set policies and
procedures, and to establish the basic guidelines by which risks are to
be measured and monitored. The group's span of control includes equity instruments,
fixed-income products, derivatives, money markets and currency products.
Over the last few years, risk control has gained significant importance,
marked by an increase in human and financial resources directed toward the
effort. The bank and its competitors must respond to ever-changing regulatory
pressures. The bank is the recipient of an increased level of scrutiny externally,
as well as internally, given the increased complexity of the products it
trades. The risk control function has evolved quite steadily over the past
several years. As the bank has globalized its business, management in turn
has attempted to globalize the risk control and risk management efforts.
"When you're a huge global institution, controlling risk becomes fairly
complex because you have all kinds of different permutations of where traders
are located, where the actual book is located, how risks are managed and
so forth."
From the outset, the bank's management expressed two key goals that would
dictate the approach taken by the risk management group and his colleagues
overseas. For starters, senior management required a more comprehensive
view of the risks being taken by the firm. This fundamental need eventually
would be fulfilled by introducing VAR as a uniform unit of measure internationally.
In fact, it is the senior management of the bank who is credited with spearheading
the global VAR standard. The second major goal was to deepen and broaden
the bank's overall risk management control capabilities, which led to the
creation of the independent risk monitoring group. In New York, the risk
manager has 40 people dedicated to risk control issues. The bank's London
office possesses a comparable risk staff. Tokyo and the bank's smaller locations
also have their own risk monitoring groups. Globally, the manager estimates
that the bank has a couple of hundred individuals committed to the risk
control function.
Such a formidable risk force would not have been possible without extensive
support by senior management. However, he admits it has not always been
smooth sailing. In the beginning, some managers voiced their resistance
to setting up independent control groups. "If you're the head of a
trading organization, all of a sudden you have this group that is beyond
your control," he notes. "On a daily basis, you've got somebody
looking over your shoulder and reporting on what you're doing." As
time went on, however, the initial critics were won over. Today, he says
one of the biggest challenges is striking a balance between the objectives
of trying to enter new markets and new businesses, and the sometimes opposing
objective of maintaining a tolerable level of control over the organization's
risks.
At the bank, risks are aggregated across products and trading desks.
"We're not necessarily interested in the last nth-detail of risk,"
he explains. "We're looking to see how the risks reconcile against
our P&L numbers." The bank's VAR system produces a one-day, two-standard-
deviation VAR number for the bank's various activities. The system cuts
across all products and all types of risk. The firm has established limits
based on VAR for all its major businesses, and these limits are being pushed
down through each level of the management hierarchy.
The firm's VAR system runs on UNIX workstations using an Oracle database
management system. The graphical user interface was created using the C
programming language and a number of screen formatting tools. The system
works as follows. Feeds from various front-office and back-office systems
in North America flow into the local New York UNIX server at various times
during the business day. Once received in New York, the information is immediately
passed on to the risk server in Europe, which also collects risk data from
other worldwide regions. This set-up enables Europe to produce an overall
risk calculation for the bank once a day. From a reporting standpoint, the
VAR system churns out reports and graphs that communicate risk exposure
values, as well as deltas, gammas, vegas and so on. "We show VAR and
P&L numbers, and graph the VAR number relative to P&L," he
says.
While most of the hard work is behind him and his staff, he still harbors
bad memories about the data and systems integration issues that needed to
be ironed out. "We performed integration all by ourselves, so I can
honestly tell you it was one painful episode after another," he recalls.
"Integration was really about 75 percent of the effort...building all
of the interfaces, understanding the risk types and codifying the risks
so that you have a uniform approach in all your global locations."
The firm has relied in the past on third-party vendors to supply some
of its front- and back-office systems. According to him, the bank's experience
with third-party vendors is similar to what other organizations have encountered.
Vendor systems can work if a company is eager to get from point A to point
B relatively quickly. However, over time, vendors cannot deliver the customer
service and responsiveness that their individual clients demand. He contends
that the rate of progress on the Street for a major market-maker is considerably
faster than any vendor can produce from a software perspective.
By and large, the bank's risk control effort has been embraced by everybody
at the firm. He cannot recall many instances in which traders have violated
risk limits. Those who do exceed an established limit may be penalized by
way of their compensation or bonus. "We haven't had many problems along
the lines of people disregarding our policies or guidelines," he says.
"The traders understand what our role is. They understand that, at
times, there is a difference in objectives. But, for the most part, they
are very supportive."
The higher up in the management structure one goes, the more supportive
people become with respect to the work he and his people do. "That's
because senior management uses us as an important process for them to also
get comfortable with what's going on in their areas," he says. "They
rely on us as the eyes and ears for the institution, when it comes to risk."
He credits the risk management process for giving management a deeper
understanding of all the complexities associated with a new trading idea,
financial model or transaction type. Risk management has forced management
to step back to make sure that everybody who is going to be affected by
an innovation understands it, has had a chance to review it, and has the
opportunity to express questions or concerns. Within this cautious environment,
the bank still strives to foster creativity and experimentation.
Though most of the risk control pieces are already in place, he has outlined
a few of his top goals for the future. One short-term objective is for the
bank to complete its investment in developing the risk control process for
all of its traded products as well as the treasury and bank-funding activities.
"There are some areas where we still need to do a bit more in terms
of building up the infrastructure around certain products," he says.
A second short-term goal involves rolling out the VAR system as the official
trading limit and risk measurement system for all products. "We're
close, but we're not quite there yet," he says. "It's going to
take another few years of work before we get all our products done."
He is also committed to stepping up stress-testing efforts on the bank's
portfolios. The bank currently utilizes stress-testing to a certain degree,
but he feels there is more that should be done in this area.
In the longer term, his next big challenge is to make sure that all of
the finite financial resources (balance sheet assets and liabilities, local
and foreign regulatory capital, risk capital and so on) that go into a trading
business are thought about in a systematic and conceptually consistent way
within all of the information systems.
Overall, he is quite satisfied with the progress that the bank has made
on the risk management and risk control frontiers. "In terms of our
risk management infrastructure, I think we're pretty state-of-the-art, in
the sense that we have a global function that cuts across a majority of
risk types. There still are relatively few institutions that have reached
the stage we are at. You can never be airtight in this kind of endeavor,
but you can always inch closer to perfection."
Asian Securities Firm
Our interview was with a risk manager who works in the technology group
of a major Asian securities firm. The majority of the firm's business is
composed of fairly straightforward instruments, such as bonds, equities,
listed options and vanilla currency, and interest-rate swaps. It does not
deal heavily in exotic options. Of late, the risk manager has played an
integral role in attempting to introduce a formal risk management system
to the firm.
The risk management process has been very slow to develop. To begin with,
there is no enterprise-wide risk management division at the firm. Currently,
risk management consists of individual desk managers supervising or hedging
their own books, with little or no regard for what other business units
are doing. For example, the firm's fixed-income manager, who oversees 2025
traders and has a funding desk reporting to him, will regularly examine
his traders' positions. Risks will be surveyed on a duration or duration-convexity
basis. Should the manager feel that a particular trader is overly exposed,
he will advise the trader to hedge his or her position with the appropriate
instrument.
Similarly, the manager of the equity arbitrage department will look at
his area's book in terms of delta equivalents. Right now, there is no automated,
accurate way of combining the risk positions of the two desks and, by so
doing, take the fixed-income and equity diversification effects into account.
The prevailing situation makes it difficult to get a true picture of the
firm's risk profile at any given moment in time.
Such a state of affairs had been the norm in general until recently.
However, as he is quick to point out, the tides of change are beginning
to wash in at most institutions. Change is being driven by several important
factors. "Nobody likes to admit it, but regulatory changes are something
that the firm is afraid of to some degree," he says. "If there
is an SEC or Fed regulation put in place that makes firm-wide risk measurement
mandatory, there's nothing in place at the firm currently that can handle
all of the potential requirements."
To avoid excessive development costs and possible penalties, the firm
is convinced it must prepare itself far in advance for such an event. The
organization faces a more pressing problem, however. In the firm's home
country securities marketplace, brokerage firms are still heavily reliant
on fixed brokerage commissions. A high percentage of the firm's revenues
come from lofty fixed-commission rates, which will be phased out in the
coming years, just as Mayday rates were phased out in the United States
in May 1975. When the fixed-commission structure is abolished, the profit
margins on retail and institutional equity trades will plummet. To maintain
their revenues, the brokerage firms will have to drum up business in other
areas. He believes this new business will have to be risk business "These
firms are not going to get paid for not taking on risk," he says. "Right
now they are."
These risk businesses likely will involve derivatives. The firm will
be forced to engage in more principal transactions, rather than the agent
transactions it emphasizes today. New risks will go hand-in-hand with this
shift in the business paradigm. As it takes on more exposure, its need to
understand, measure and manage this exposure will grow exponentially. Hence,
the risk management discipline will take on an indispensable role in the
not-too-distant future.
Upper-level management has started to take a keen interest in the effort
to bring formalized risk management to the firm. One of the members of senior
management has been a vocal proponent of the initiative. The push for risk
management has essentially started in New York. The Asian headquarters office
is expected to take New York's recommendations about what kinds of systems
to purchase and what types of functions to establish. But a lot of the internal
risk management expertise is in the United States, and not in Asia. "If
we build something in New York and Asia wants to go in a different direction,
there's a little bit of risk involved there," he notes. "We want
to make sure that Asia buys into our ideas before we make a sizable commitment
of human or financial capital."
Although an influential member of management has taken the risk management
project under his wing, not everybody at the firm is convinced of its merits.
He believes one of the biggest obstacles to successfully implementing a
comprehensive risk system is educational. "There are a limited number
of people within the organization that really understand how they can use
corporate-wide risk management systems, and what benefits they would derive
from this type of system or function," he states. "They need to
be taught to understand the pros and cons of risk management. What is VAR?
What does it mean? How can I trust the numbers that come out, especially
if I'm going to review traders based on these numbers, or allocate capital
to the business?"
Another significant obstacle confronting him and his colleagues is the
data and system integration aspects of developing a global risk system.
Normalizing the data, building the data model and populating the data structures
represent the greatest challenges from a logical standpoint. A bond traded
on the firm's system in Asia does not carry the same data fields as a bond
traded on the system in London or New York or elsewhere. Field lengths and
record sizes can also be significantly different, depending on the office.
All of these disparate data have to be normalized in order to run information
through a single risk engine.
Technology incompatibility will also be a problem for his group. "As
far as databases go, in New York and London, I know we have Oracle licenses,"
he says. "In Asia, they're using another type. In New York, we have
a mixture of outsourced DEC machines as well as in-house IBM mainframes.
Some of our New York systems are also spreadsheet-based. In Asia, our office
is almost exclusively using IBM mainframes. It could be a nightmare to integrate
all these systems."
On the subject of which risk types will get most of the attention early
on, he believes the firm will tackle credit risk after they master market
risk. However, there are some managers that are focusing on trying to combine
the two in the first phase. He thinks this approach will create more headaches.
Interest rate risk is obviously an issue. The firm maintains larger positions
in fixed-income products, compared with equity instruments.
The firm's management decided early in the game to look to an outside
vendor for a risk management engine, rather than to develop one in-house.
It called in four vendors to conduct demonstrations of their systems. These
vendors were narrowed from a list of approximately 20 firms. Why didn't
the other vendors make the cut? According to our source, it was because
they did not sell themselves as enterprise-wide risk management systems.
"Essentially, what they were selling were front-end deal-capture and
P&L reporting systems," he says. "These vendors were trying
to build risk management functionality on the bottom of these systems, almost
as an afterthought."
Managers from Asia and Europe flew in to be a part of the four vendors'
dog-and-pony shows. After all was said and done, he and most other firm
managers came away with a preference for one system. "The system appeared
to be easier to use and set up," he says. "It comes across as
very user-friendly. It delivers all of the information you want, even though
it doesn't have the bells-and-whistles and enticing graphics that a competitor's
system sports."
Despite its brilliant-looking front end, the system lost marks because
of its modular design, which appeared difficult to set up, understand and
use. A fourth system never successfully got its demo off the ground. Aside
from that embarrassing problem, the firm was also weak from the perspective
of technology support in Asia. "They have a lot of people in the United
States who understand risk management, but, as far as being a vendor is
concerned, they have a limited number of outside customers."
Once the risk engine is in place, the firm will obtain risk data from
a mixture of front- and back-office systems. About half of the deals are
done directly in the back office. The balance of the deals are transacted
through up to 20 different front-office systems, depending on the product.
He feels that the issue of reconciliation between the front-office systems,
back-office systems and risk engine will be a problem if the firm captured
trades from the front. "Once they hit the back, and are marked as good
trades and get a trade reference number, there's much less of a reconciliation
problem," he says. "The back-office systems can provide us with
all the data we'll need."
In the United States, all the firm's back-office systems are real-time.
When a trade is entered, it is booked and hits the firm's inventory in real-time.
However, the firm does not get real-time prices. So, if real-time risk management
were ever to be a goal at the firm, the firm would have to subscribe to
a live market data feed.
For the time being, the firm's management is satisfied with end-of-day
risk reporting. Our source thinks that eventually the firm would want to
have each of its back-office systems send real-time messages to the risk
engine. "If you wanted to run a risk report in the morning because
something happened in Europe and you're interested in seeing what each trader's
positions look like, such a system would be able to accommodate that,"
he comments.
In terms of reporting, his team will direct its attention toward designing
thoughtful and concise reports that senior management would want to look
at on a daily basis. He assumes that reporting will be done by desk, for
instance, according to risk types. He would love to come up with a standard
set of reports that everybody can agree on. If necessary, the group would
custom-tailor reports to specific end-users on a case-by-case basis. "Obviously,
there are countless ways of slicing and dicing the risk data. What we want
to avoid is a situation in which we're printing 200-page reports that nobody
needs."
It's been more than seven months since the firm conducted its vendor
review, but thus far no contracts have been signed. The current holdup involves
finding. The firm's previous year budget was set in stone. His department
is waiting to see next year's budget figures. In addition to the budgetary
constraints, the headquarters in Asia is still trying to get an overall
picture of how it is going to solve the system and data integration piece
of the puzzle, and how the firm's three main offices can work together to
build the system. "I've heard that Asia has approved the first leg
of a feasibility study," he claims. "Management in Asia feels
it needs to survey the technological landscape to see what hardware and
software the firm has today. It's easy to pick a new risk engine, but folks
still have to put all the systems together to feed the information to a
normalized database."
He says very little of the data normalization phase, if any, will be
performed by the systems vendor. A vendor's main function is to help a client
extract data out of the data model and feed it into the risk engine. In
general, vendors do not take on the role of data or systems integrators.
The development of the firm's risk management system will likely be performed
at one location first. Once this location is operational, he expects that
the system will be gradually rolled out to the firm's other locations. Within
a single location, individual desks will be integrated into the system one
at a time. He assumes that New York will be the location chosen as the beta
site. "We would start by choosing a desk, such as the Treasury desk.
We would run the data through the risk engine, get the numbers, check them
out against the formulas and probably get a third-party consultant to put
his or her seal of approval on it," he relates. "We won't leave
a single stone unturned. This project is far too important to us."
Global Investment Banking Firm
The interviewee is in the treasury department at this top-tier investment
banking firm.
Although he is not involved with product-related risk management per
se, his role as an expert in reducing liquidity risk is vital to the health
and well-being of the firm as a whole.
As a premier investment bank, the firm requires capital to trade for
its own account. In order to obtain this capital, the firm may access the
public equity market, borrow money from other banks or issue short-term
debt instruments. The latter naturally add to the liability side of the
firm's balance sheet. His function is to monitor liquidity risk, which is
defined as having access to cash to pay unsecured creditors at any time.
The firm has resisted the temptation to boost its capital base by selling
more of the company to the public. As a result, capital is a precious company
resource that must be managed with extreme care. As the firm's short-term
obligations become due, it must be able to quickly roll over the principal
amount into new sources of financing. It is his responsibility to measure
the liquidity risks involved in obtaining financing, and how these funds
will be used by the different trading desks. Each of the firm's trading
desks has a system to measure the risk of each trade. These systems also
perform calculations detailing how trades will affect the firm's liquidity
risk. Such information is stored in different systems and integrated together.
The firm began to emphasize liquidity risk management when it started
to access the commercial paper market for the first time. As the firm engaged
in more borrowing activities, it became exposed to new kinds of risk.
Currently, upper-level management receive daily and weekly reports on
how assets are funded and how financing mixes are used. Managers receive
a special liquidation graph, which, in essence, is a worst-case scenario.
The firm maintains U.S. securities that are financed both in the repo market
and by commercial paper. "If there is a financial liquidity crisis,
the firm could use U.S. government securities and sell them to raise cash,"
he notes. "The firm's managers know our risk management numbers by
heart."
The products analyzed are primarily ones in which liquidity risk comes
into play. The risk management function extends across all the major trading
desks. Various types of risk are analyzed at the desk level, and are also
aggregated for the firm as a whole. In its quest to reduce liquidity risks,
the firm conducts an analysis on a monthly basis to form recommendations
on how the firm could respond to a credit crisis.
"Our risk management systems are fairly global," the risk manager
says. "To control liquidity risk, we use global systems to monitor
international markets such as Europe and Asia." He indicates that data
used by the system for analysis originate from both front- and back-office
systems. Outputs of the system include reports listing the total amount
of inventory globally financed by unsecured resources, as well as liability
information detailing how much is owed to various creditors.
The reaction by the firm's employees toward these risk management initiatives
has been quite positive. Resistance has been minimal, and top management
is serious about the risk management effort. There are controls and incentives
in place for traders to stay within established risk limits. In fact, one
of the items in a trader's regular performance evaluation is how closely
he or she adhered to risk management guidelines. If a trader exceeded the
limits, he or she would be promptly dismissed.
Risk management has changed the global way of thinking. While international
diversification is important, the firm does not believe it must have an
investment presence in every market. Management is aware of sovereign risk,
and performs strong due diligence in analyzing risk and reward potential.
He feels that the risk management function should involve more automation
and provide more accessibility to key managers that make crucial decisions.
"To improve the accuracy of risk management, there should be less of
a manual touch," he adds. "More systems need to be put in place
to capture and process risk data on a frequent basis. Yet, we don't want
to totally disregard the important human element."
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