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A Promising Inaugural for Listed E-flex Options
It is very likely that derivatives history was made on October 23, when
the CBOE, the Amex and the Pacific Stock Exchange traded their first equity
flex options-though it may take a few years for this fact to be widely perceived,
since it will take time for their uses and markets to develop. The e-flex
options on 34 stocks that were created that day (see box) represent an attempt
by listed exchanges to capture some of the structured equity volume that
have been bread and butter to the OTC. According to Michael Schwartz of
Oppenheimer, "E-flex could have a lot of appeal to users of collar
techniques, who've gone off the board to do transactions that protect large
low-cost stock positions of corporate insiders."
Another target group of users are portfolio managers, who today rarely
consider options as part of their acquisition or sale of large blocks. According
to Gary Gastineau of the Amex, a block seller who is not selling on adverse
perceptions, but merely to fine-tune portfolios, could net better terms
by retaining the stock and instead selling a call at close to the money
for a month or two duration-perhaps till sometime after an earnings release.
The price of this option might be a little under its fair value, but
would be small beer compared to the discount to market for unloading a large
block. If his assumption is that there are no negatives, then the option
is called away from him very near to the original market price of the underlying.
"So I think you are going to see this as a very popular application
with block traders," says Gastineau. "You'll see more institutions
come in who've been able to ignore options in the past. There are still
very few institutional users of options." He adds one caveat, however:
It'll take some time for the block trading applications to be widely understood.
"Once it is, though, it will be an integral part of the way institutions
trade stocks," Gastineau believes.
E-flexes, like index flexes, offer customizability of such terms as expiration date, exercise style (American or European) and exercise price. Quite deliberately
they have been made expensive enough to be beyond the pocketbooks of individual
punters in the option market. A minimum of 250 contracts, representing 25,000
shares of the underlying, must trade in order to open an new e-flex series.
And on existing flexes the trading minimum is 100 contracts. Position limits
are three times those allowed in index flexes. "Obviously this is a
product aimed at institutions, as well as wealthy individuals who may have
significant holdings in a stock that they acquired as part of the founding
group," says Bill Barclay of the CBOE.
Other likely users of e-flex include:
n Corporate stock buyback programs that include the use of OTC put sales could be attracted by position limits fatter than allowed with indexes.
Many are also likely to be drawn to the price discovery features that dealers
cannot offer.
n Mutual funds who've experienced a big run-up in a stock will likely
want to get past the tax-advantaged three-month holding minimum by selling
a European call and meanwhile buying a put-the former just above the money,
the latter just below.
n Now volatility strategies can be tailored to specific events-say post-election-to the day of choice. Similarly where there is an merger deal in the works,
an investor can hedge away the deal risk by setting up a specific expiration
date.
n Convertible arbitrage managers tactics will be refined, thanks again
to improved customizability. A frequent tactic of these investors is to
hedge with listed options, usually LEAPS. (The 34 listed e-flexes all have
LEAPS, too.) The disadvantage of LEAPS is that they usually don't match
up with the date when a convert is callable. "If I had a convertible
arbitrage account," says Leon Gross of Salomon Bros., "I'd rather
flex something and get the exact strike and the exact maturity, as opposed
to LEAPS which might be off by quite a bit." Gross further believes
that it may be easier for some investors to get sellers on the floor, since
many dealers themselves have big convert trading portfolios: "The floor
might provide more liquidity because they don't have the conflict of running
a convert book."
Then, too, for all categories of users there could be a great advantage
in the fact that transactions are backed by the full faith and credit of
the Options Clearing Corp. "All things being equal, the institutional
investor has to consider that he is getting an endorsement from the OCC
rather than Hubton & Rye Brokerage or a third-world bank," Schwartz
notes. "The OCC's triple-A standing should be very appealing to anyone
hedging risk from a corporate standpoint."
Easy buyback
''This is going to be one of the most innovative developments in options trading that we've seen in a long time," says Scott Fullman, chief
options strategist for Swiss American Securities. Fullman believes that
e-flex will offer a more liquid market than existed heretofore. "Say
you're a writer and it comes time to buy back. You will feel better in a
competitive marketplace, whereas in the OTC you can only go back to the
person you originally traded with, and that's a negative. A lot of people
perceive that as an opportunity to be squeezed," Fullman says.
But flex is not going to sweep the OTC market into the sea. A recent
tax ruling has been something of a setback. Initially the exchanges had
planned for customized strikes on both calls and puts. But at present it's
not possible on the calls-the IRS says this would violate a ruling on qualified
calls on regular options. Needless to say, negotiations with the IRS are
bent on resolving this matter.
Position limits are yet another negative in terms of attracting institutions, which is why the Amex is spearheading talks with the SEC to get them removed
altogether. "For equity flex to achieve anything like its full potential
it has got to be done with no position limits," says Gastineau. "As
long as there are limits, they will constrain those who believe that as
they approach those limits they run the risk of being the largest or the
only factor in the market. So when they see any kind of a ceiling they don't
want to get involved."
The product's real test will come when e-flex will or won't trade in
significant volume. Most of the midwives to the e-flex don't expect any
immediate fireworks-in part because most potential users already have the
next few months pretty well mapped and are unlikely to seek new positions
or hedges. One factor that will be closely watched in the coming months
is the most frequent maturities. Some experts doubt that the bulk of e-flexes
will trade much beyond a week or two, and that precious few will go out
to the maximum of three years. "Also people want to see that these
things trade. Everyone wants a track record," says Fullman, "but
I think eventually this is going to be one of the best products to come
out of the exchanges. I'm hoping it takes off. It may even bring back institutions
to the option writing game."
New Grass Roots Risk Group
There is a new GARP on the block, one not born of the famous John Irving novel. This one is a grassroots organization of risk managers with the full
name of Global Association of Risk Professionals. GARP is the brainchild
of two individuals at dealer firms, Marc Lore and Lev Borodovsky, who with
some colleagues used to meet weekly at a New York pub to talk shop-recruitment,
systems, etc. Four months ago they decided to give themselves a formal name
and organization that was launched on the Internet (www.chadmarc.com/garp).
By early November, after a few thousand hits, GARP boasted more than 250
signed-on members from 23 countries. "It took off way beyond our wildest
expectations," says Borodovsky.
GARP's mission is to enhance professionalism through sharing of information, special seminars and presentations. It will also offer an exam and a degree
called the Risk Management Professional (RMP) in November 1997. "Basically
we did this to help with the recruiting process. A lot of people have trouble
finding a risk manager. The people who have been coming forward and saying
they are risk managers are often not-they're only guys who've doctored their
resumes." The RMP exam will cover quant analysis, market risk, credit
risk, emerging market risk, derivatives, regulation and compliance.
Whether a framed RMP degree will ever be a ubiquitous feature of risk
managers' office walls remains to be seen. But there is no doubt that it
is garnering authenticity from a number of heavyweight individuals on the
examination council, including John Hull, Michael Pettis, Till Guildimann
and Frank Fabozzi.
GARPees don't interact only on the various Internet forums that GARP
maintains; they also meet in person at lectures and seminars. Next on the
agenda is a January 23 roundtable of experts on risk management, to be chaired
by Charles Taylor of Andersen Consulting. "There will be very senior
and very experienced people there to discuss the Bank for International
Settlements recommendations, precommitment, etc.," says Borodovsky.
Oil Industry Gets Poor Marks for Disclosure
Many big oil companies are failing to disclose derivatives in a way that would make the Financial Accounting Standards Board happy. According to
the mid-November release of Price Waterhouse's 1996 Petroleum Industry Review,
among the top 30 energy giants there is but ragged adherence to the features
and recommendations of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS)
119, 107 and 105. A third of the sample confined disclosure of the face
or contract value of financial derivatives to footnotes, while the rest
covered the subject in both footnotes and more extensively in the Management's
Discussion & Analysis (MDA) section.
Only seven of the 30 oil behemoths who held derivatives for trading purposes disclosed average fair value during the reporting period and year-end marked-to-market.
Where derivatives were held or issued for nontrading motives, the reasons
were footnoted by all, but discussed in the MDA by a mere 13. For anticipated
transactions, 25 companies put the details in footnotes, and only three
thought that candor required that they also be aired in the MDA. As for
hedging gains and losses, these were relegated to the footnotes by 17 of
the sample. And finally it appears that off-balance-sheet risks are still
being treated cursorily: Fewer than half "disclosed the amount of accounting
loss by category of financial instrument that might be incurred if the counterparty
defaulted or the collateral lost value."
Price Waterhouse scrupulously avoided drawing inferences from the serious inconsistencies and noncomparability of these reporting strategies. But
one can be sure that this data was noted down at the General Accounting
Office (GAO), the Congressional watchdog, which coincidentally in the same
week issued a follow-up to its 1994 blast at derivatives. In its 165-page
report, the GAO again complained of "serious shortcomings in accounting
standards [that] continue to be exposed as entities experience major losses
from market-sensitive financial instruments, with seemingly little warning."
Its remedy? The adoption of comprehensive market-value accounting.
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