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Chalk up another vote for Precommitment
Financial institutions may not love regulators, but they get really steamed up when they discuss the labyrinthine capital adequacy standards external
examiners want to afflict them with. Banks maintain that their in-house
systems for measuring and covering risk are every bit as good as those devised
by banking bureaucrats.
Last year the New York Fed showed it had been listening to these arguments by proposing its so-called precommitment approach to capital adequacy, whereby
a bank would define its own probable risk exposure and pledge an appropriate
amount of capital against it. If this capital proved to be inadequate, banking
regulators would impose all sorts of dire but as yet undefined penalties.
Last month precommitment won the strong endorsement of Karen Shaw Petrou,
president of the Washington-based financial industry consultancy ISD Shaw.
She says precommitment is an "improvement of market risk rules currently
considered by Basel and in the U.S." Petrou is a widely recognized
consultant and analyst who has worked closely with senior bankers at major
U.S. and overseas institutions. Petrou also serves as director of the $4
billion Rochester (New York) Community Savings Bank.
She made the remarks in April while on a panel of experts at the Jerome
Levy Economics Institute at Bard College in upstate New York. Also on the
panel were Allen Spillenkothen, director of the banking and regulatory division
at the Fed in Washington, and Mark Brickell, a managing director of JP Morgan
and board member of ISDA.
Petrou is not unequivocal in her support of precommitment. "It is
a good idea about which I have many questions," she says. These questions
include the type of punishment that would be imposed should the institution
exceed the capital it has precommitted. "What kind of punishment should
be meted out, and how can you mete out punishment against an institution
which has so misjudged its capital as to be out of business?" she asks.
Moreover, the nature of the risk exposure to be disclosed has not yet
been determined, she feels. Petrou wants to know whether this would be an
average expectation of loss, or a worst-case expectation of loss. And though
the blanket approach to capital adequacy currently in use is crude and often
inaccurate, it has the advantage that bank examiners understand it. Precommitment
would be more subjective, and consequently some examiners are worried about
how they would implement it, "and I think correctly so," says
Petrou.
BIS buster
Despite these caveats, the current risk-based capital rules, including
the BIS proposals on market and credit risk that were announced last year,
are full of holes, says Petrou. The BIS guidelines allow the use of internal
models in the calculation of risk, a development which earned the approval
of many bankers, but this aspect is mitigated by the fact that the BIS must
approve the models to be used and will continue to use assessments of capital
adequacy based on its own market criteria, stresses Petrou.
These BIS rules are also "very, very complicated," notes Petrou, and because they seek to measure risks that are in themselves extremely
complex, no one is quite sure how they will be applied on a cross-border,
cross-institution, cross-accounting-standards and cross-regulatory- regime
basis. To address some of these complexities, the BIS assumes standard regulatory
practices, and yet when these models are applied to the U.S., one ends up
with results that "are, at best, perverse," says Petrou.
Consequently risk may in fact be undercalculated rather than overcalculated. Petrou acerbically points to the phenomenon that despite "billions
and billions and billions of recognized and unrecognized loan losses,"
Japanese banks always managed to stay above the Basel minimum capital standards!
Of course, the adoption of the precommitment approach is a very long
way off in the U.S., let alone the rest of the world. Petrou is encouraged
that a large group of U.S. banks recently have begun a pilot program to
test the proposal.
Precommitment may need a lot stronger sponsorship, judging from thoughts
expressed a day earlier at the Bard conference by Federal Reserve Governor
Janet Yellen. She complained that it was increasingly hard to assess the
risks bankers are undertaking with derivatives. Said Yellen, "I fear
we may be reaching the point that, for our largest, most complicated institutions,
a bank's formal, regulatory 'risk-based' capital ratio is not as useful
a signal of financial soundness as we would like."
Is Your Wardrobe Ready for Casual Fridays?
By Karen Spinner
While shorts and sundresses are not likely to be de rigueur in the financial community anytime soon, summer dress-down days are fast becoming popular
at even the most conservative financial institutions. One New York broker-dealer
cynically theorizes that "casual Fridays came into existence because
some top level execs wanted to be able to drive straight from the office
to their summer houses in the Hamptons without having to go home to change
first."
But that's not quite true. About 60 percent of the Fortune 500 companies
tolerate some form of casual dress, either on specific days of the week,
seasonally or year-round, the latter being a steadily growing pattern. Financial
institutions are, predictably, in the rearguard of this trend.
At Bankers Trust, for example, "dress-down" or "casual
dress" Fridays were in effect last year from May 26 to September 1.
According to a company memo, "The intent in creating this policy is
to accommodate casual dress on Fridays during the summer months without
compromising a businesslike appearance." The memo also spelled out
BT's official interpretation of casual: "No shorts. No T-shirts. No
sandals. No bare-shouldered dresses. No torn jeans." Similar policies
are in effect at Merrill Lynch and elsewhere.
Relative to similar institutions, BT's definition of casual is actually
a touch on the liberal side. At Morgan Stanley, which also has summer "dress-down"
Fridays, business casual-known to employees as "smart casual"-means
"khaki pants or other slacks, collared shirts, lace-up shoes or loafers."
Morgan Stanley "don'ts" include jeans, T-shirts, tank tops, abbreviated
tops, sneakers and sandals.
Some financial firms have gone so far as to allow casual Fridays year-round. At Paribas Capital Markets, every Friday is dress-down day, though jeans
are prohibited and collared shirts and khakis are still the norm. Some firms,
like Credit Suisse Financial Products and Gen Re Financial Products, allow
employees to dress in business casual every day of the week, although the
suits are likely to magically reappear when a client plans a visit.
Then there are the radicals. Once a bastion of sartorial probity, the
Swiss Bank Corp. now permits casual every day. It began revising its rather
prissy image shortly after it bought O'Connor Associates in 1992. As the
O'Connor people subsequently rose in the company, they spread the relaxed
style they liked. Ditto the effect of Chicago Research and Trading's purchase
by NationsBank.
There are still some holdouts-JP Morgan, for example. And in many other
places summer casual is not likely to creep into the rest of the year. At
Société Générale, which has casual Fridays,
come Labor Day the ties come back out and the polo shirts go back in the
drawer. Says Ellen Fischer-Taylor, a spokesperson for the French bank: "It's
very over when it's over."
Sumitomo Online
http://www.sbcm.com
Last month Sumitomo Bank Capital Markets launched a dedicated derivatives
Web page, the first ever devoted to the swap market. After the opening page
of standard corporate puffery, the site gets down to serious business. A
department called "Up the Learning Curve" has sound tutorial materials
on interest rate swaps, options, currency swaps, key rate duration and elements
of pricing. From here there are hyperlinks to some on-line derivatives bookstores,
lists of conferences and a mini encyclopedia of 36 commercially available
derivatives front office systems. "Hot Topics This Month" features
an erudite essay by the firm's Ravi E. Dattatreya on modeling yield curve
risk via risk points. Claimed advantages for the risk point method: 1) it
can highlight yield curve risk in an asset/liability context, 2) while in
a portfolio context it can improve analysis of bond swaps. There is also
a weekly commentary on the U.S. currency and swap markets supported with
attractive charts.
Sumitomo believes the site has had some 1,000 visitors in the first two
weeks, about half of these from outside the U.S. One of the drawbacks to
any Web site is that very few financial professionals have access to the
Internet during work hours. But Sumitomo was pretty surprised at the number
of people giving up personal evening and weekend time to access the new
site from their home computers.
Wacky Wisconsin
After the staff managing the $40 billion pension portfolio of the State
of Wisconsin lost $95 million in 1995 in derivatives trades, an angry state
legislature put a freeze on bonuses. Now it appears the legislature has
done an about-face and decided against reprisals. The 13 staffers will soon
collect their checks despite their failings.
What's more, there are even Wisconsiners who believe these investment
managers deserve a big pay hike. Separately the Wisconsin Legislative Audit
Bureau recommended that the bonus pool be increased to improve the state
investment board's effectiveness. The present bonus formulae are, in truth,
pretty bizarre. The pool is fixed at 10 percent of the department's payroll.
Then managers are awarded their share according to performance. If one manager
receives more than 10 percent of payroll, another must receive less. Ergo,
an individual manager is better off if his colleagues do badly. One can
only imagine the level of cooperation in the department.
However, a joint committee of the state legislature nixed the suggestion
that the pool to be enlarged to avoid this so-called "perverse incentive."
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