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Netsurfing for Derivatives
Are there gnarly waves? You bet. But get ready for lots
of flat water.
By John Thackray
The hype about the Internet, dude, got waaayy too much: so bad that every
TV talking head and pundit, even my date's runny-nosed kid brother, was
telling me the Web is the future, blah blah blah. Investors were trippy
on the stuff all year - buying stocks they never heard of that claimed Internet-relatedness.
But who knows? Netscape's IPO last summer was radical. The company sold
stock worth hundreds of millions against no earnings and practically no
sales, since they'd given away their main product. Other signs of mass delusion:
1) hundreds of bug-eyed venture capitalists looking for Web startups, checkbooks
in their quivering hands, and 2) the US Vice President and Speaker of the
House, normally blood enemies, cooing like doves and singing, "Let's
Do It The Info-Way."
Cut to me at the terminal of my 486 clone, modem linked to a slip provider,
then loading Netscape Navigator. "This is a reality check," I
said. "I want something more than porno with lousy pixels, chat forums
for Pogo comic strip fans, or screamin' corporate-home-page billboards.
The Net's gotta be more than a hobby thing. It's gotta be useful. And what
better use than to benefit my derivatives trading?" And one more criterion:
everything must be free.
What's on the Following Pages?
I'm talking here mostly about useful, likable sites. Scores of totally
dumb, pathetic and infuriating pages have ended up on the cutting room floor.
I avoided sites that were loaded only with public relations and huckstering.
Don't think that my hits amount to a guide to derivatives on the Net. No
way: the scene is morphing too quickly. Also searches are quirky. Chance
plays a big role as one skips through directories of derivatives sites and
somersaults from one hyperlink to the next. A few different turns at certain
crossroads, some different search engines, and the outcome might have been
different.
Learning the Net-Ropes
All the hype about the Net has obscured the fact that it is basically
a primitive and sometimes unreliable technology. The slip providers that
give you access to the Net vary greatly in quality and dependability. One
of the worst, in my experience, was America OnLine, where traffic is continually
slowed by system bottlenecks and overloads. AOL will cut you off the Net
without warning. Imagine eating in a restaurant and being told by the maitre
d', "Okay, folks, you gotta leave-we're out of food." Even with
a good slip provider, the Net's responsiveness is likely to vary greatly
at different times of day and with different destinations.
Home pages overloaded with graphics are another major cause of frustration.
You can waste a lot of time staring at the browser's page-for most of us
that's the Netscape logo of shooting stars indicating a retrieval taking
place. Here's a tip: ration your Web sessions. Keep a log of starting and
finishing times and of sites visited-it's easy to forget where you've been.
And of course places you might want to return to should be bookmarked.
After the initial cruising of this mapless environment-the part that
is supposed to be fun-there comes the time to be rigorous in defining a
session's objectives. If not, you'll find yourself led, or hyperlinked,
into sites that may be interesting in a ho-hum way but are far from your
initial objectives.
Some of the major shapers of Net reality are the search engines, which
allow you to hunt for particular words or phrases and which vary greatly
in their character, economics and user-efficiency. It is important to ask:
whose interest does this engine serve? Some of them are disinterested and
maintained as a public service, while other engines-Lycos and Yahoo, for
instance-are commercial ventures whose agenda is to generate income by funneling
Net users to fee-based information or advice. Note also that engines easily
mix up different orders of information. One search on Yahoo under derivatives
yielded a straightforward bit of corporate self-promotion by Philbro. The
next item was the home page of an Italian derivatives trader working for
a bank in Luxembourg!
Caution is also in order with directories of "other useful sites."
While these road signs are ubiquitous, they vary greatly in usefulness,
and few are maintained with great quality control, timeliness or research.
Case in point: derivatives searches on several engines will turn up the
University of Gottingen's economics department. But the list of sites gathered
by the folks in Gottingen suggests they're a little out of touch with the
United States.
Getting Your Bearings
Yahoo
http://www.yahoo.com/
Okay, let's start with Yahoo, the popular search engine. It yields a
score of items to my query on derivatives-an assortment of Web sites from
listed exchanges, futures brokers and academics, and online news, views
and data. No way of knowing what's gold and what's dross. Aha! Here's something
interesting: a hotwire to "How to Become a Realtime Commodity Future
Trader-From Home," which Yahoo says is a "popular startup to advanced
realtime trading guides for beginner and expert." I click there and
feel like a fool. I'm looking at a promo and order form for a self-published
book at $69.99. That's lesson number one: search engines have no quality
control.
NumaWeb
http://www.numa.com/derivs/drivex.htm
Gee, can there really be a derivatives supermarket? London-based NumaWeb
has a treasure trove of really deep data on derivatives courses, upcoming
conferences (though 90 percent are in the United Kingdom), a directory of
software vendors, a mail order for books with a pretty respectable list
of authors, plus an online mini expert system that teaches derivatives strategies.
These consist of 17 strategies for different market environments-bullish,
neutral, volatile, etc.-that are well-diagrammed and backed up with good
text. It also has a dictionary with 200 derivatives acronyms and a "laboratory"
that offers an array of calculators for options, convertible bonds and warrants.
These are supported with good descriptions of how the calculators work and
their input and output data. There's also an okay article on the credit
risks attached to equity options. Whoever these Numa people are, they get
my BN Award-for Benefactor of the Net. My only criticism is a zine called
"Voila! Tillity" addicted to stale Nick Leeson jokes and British
public school humor.
Waldemar's List
http://www.cosm.sc.edu/~puszkarz/futures.asp
If there is one primo net directory for futures, this is it! Since March
1995 Waldemar Puszkarz, a Pole, 35, bas built this minor edifice while working
toward his Ph.D. in theoretical physics at the University of South Carolina.
Probably the first Web site on futures, it is updated on weekends-hits run
to nearly 2,000 monthly. The encyclopedic material has hotwires to: 1) exchanges;
2) advisory services, clearing houses and brokers; 3) investment companies;
4) charts, quotes and archives; 5) market reports and commentary; 6) trading;
7) traders' home pages. In all, the list runs to four typewritten pages,
and still (because this is the Net) it is incomplete. Via e-mail Waldemar
says that, alas, he's too busy at school to trade.
Finlink
http://Wat.ch/finlink/home.htm
This site is run by the Geneva-based International Finance & Commodities
Institute (IFCI) with support from Axone, a local software company, and
the Geneva stock exchange. IFCI is in the business of derivatives training
on contract to large institutions. IFCI also runs classrooms open to the
public on 30 derivatives subjects in six languages. (Am I ready for spring
in Geneva on the shores of beautiful Lac Léman?)
Here you'll also find a full-text collection of five learned articles
on why derivatives are good for humanity. Axone offers an interactive calculator
for the premium and all risk factors (delta, gamma, theta, vega, rho) for
European and American FX options. In slightly weird English they say: "You
will also have the possibility to download a free Windows version that you
can freely distribute." That's shareware, baby. Axone's most original
item is a multilingual financial glossary. And it does a lot more than simple
word-for-word matches between English, French, Italian and German. I put
in the word "call" as search term and out came several explanations
in the language of choice of a dozen different call-based strategies. Want
to know the Italian for "naked position," "bull call spread,"
"strangle"? Here it is. Lastly this site has a well-structured
directory of Web sites, broken up into such topics as charts/quotes, currencies,
mutual funds and training. IFCI's pages combine state-of-the-art technology
with a pleasing low-key design. Since the page went up in mid-1995 there
have more than 100,000 hits a month-a number that is sure to grow rapidly.
High-Tech Data
BARRA
http://www.barra.com/
BARRA is a Top Gun in mathematical equity research. In its Market/Index
section it provides loads of background and price data on several popular
indices: the S&P 500/BARRA Growth and Value, BARRA Canadian, BARRA's
All-US. There is data too on different betas (historical and predicted)
of the Dow Jones Industrials-with comparisons to their industry group-plus
many pages of discussion and definition of terms. There are also volatility
indices for all emerging markets, including some wild volatility scores
for places like Jordan, Korea and Greece.
Prof. William Sharpe
http://gsb-www.stanford.edu/~wfsharpe/
home.asp
Few of the major derivatives directories list this site. But students
of equity investing will immediately recognize the name of William F. Sharpe,
inventor of the Sharpe Ratio, one of the most widely used tools in equity
performance measurement. The first benefit of a visit is pix of the prof
on the opening page, plus a list of publications (sorry, not available online)
and a place for e-mailed comments and suggestions. Then the heavy stuff
begins. Macro-investment analysis: 1) an overview of the domain covered;
2) principles and techniques (designed to grow into something akin to a
textbook); 3) empirical analysis; 4) programs, procedures, functions and
spreadsheets in various languages designed to implement key principles.
There's more than 20 pages, heavy with mathematics.
Wow and wow again! This is like having a hotwire into the prof's mind.
I wonder if the dean at Stanford, where Sharpe teaches, is aware that the
professor is giving so much for free? Turns out he's not the only one. Professor
Don Chance at Virginia Tech has a site called Derivatives 'R Us (http://www.vt.edu:10021/business/Finance/dmc/DRU).
With occasional flashes of humor it offers almost a full-length book, a
graduate-level introduction to derivatives, each chapter a downloadable
file. I wonder if he's told his publisher that it's been a Net freebie for
many months. It is easy to get the suspicion that the Net is morphing the
economic structure of many things.
Robert's Online Pricers
http://www.intrepid.com/ ~robertl/author.asp
There is a polarized ethic on the net: those who've got huge dollar signs
in their eyeballs vs. those like Dr. Robert Lum who think, what the hell,
let's just give back something to the world. His pricing models are open
to one and all, and offer a wide range of choices.
P.S. Via e-mail the professor tells us that his pricers attract about
11,000 hits daily. That's an amazing number of people who regularly unglue
themselves from far sexier sites to get an asset valuation. Even more amazing,
some of the frequent users come from locations where they are sitting within
a few feet of some of the most powerful valuation models known to man-Lehman
Brothers and JP Morgan for instance. One pricer that piqued my interest
was on brokerage commissions. The difference between the cheapest and the
dearest is one reason to check this page regularly.
JP Morgan
http://www.jpmorgan.com/
Two or three years ago nobody could have imagined that there would be
so many giveaways of first-rate information as we see on the Net today.
In derivatives the outstanding example of the Net-driven revolution is of
course JP Morgan's RiskMetrics global market risk system, which has proven
a rousing success. There is also good supporting material, such as upcoming
conferences when JP Morgan personnel will be talking about RiskMetrics and
lists of software developers and consultants who are qualified to support
an implementation. When the history of the Net comes to be written, RiskMetrics
will stand out as a seminal moment because it sets a bogey for rivals. There
are reports in the investment community that major free data offerings on
this scale will soon be offered by other firms.
Zero Delta Analytics
http://cnct.com/home/myers/ZeroDelta.htm
While media powerhouses are making billion-dollar deals and counterdeals
over the Net, it is still predominantly a cottage industry. Meet one derivatives
cottager, Kurt Myers, whose Zero Delta Analytics offers its "first
shareware product available for distribution, which is a dynamic link library
for calculating options prices using the basic Black-Scholes option pricing
formula. Also present is a function for calculating cumulative normal probabilities
(which some may find more useful than the option pricing algorithm...) It
runs under Windows 3.1 and can be linked to Excel and compiled in C/C++."
Who knows? Could be terrible, could be wonderful. Kurt says nothing about
his background or qualifications, but a hotwire to a personal home page
shows him out for a day in the country with his wife Angie, a lover of pre-Colombian
jewelry. He looks like a nice guy.
Time Wasters
Iowa Electronic Markets
http://www.biz.uiowa.edu/iem/
The Iowa Electronics Markets (IEM) is one of the more curious corners
of the net. It's a genuine all-electronic futures exchange that allows anyone
to make bets-and lose real money-on real outcomes.
These days the site's hottest contract hangs on the outcome of the Republican
race for the Presidential nomination. After registering and sending IEM
a deposit check, the investor bets via an electronic trading screen that
displays three-month prices on a beautiful five-color chart, or a spreadsheet
with bid, asked, last, low, high and average. At 11:54 on February 13, for
example, the asking price on the Republican Convention Market for an option
on Dole's candidacy was $0.579, compared to $0.155 for Lamar Alexander and
$0.092 for Steve Forbes. Since last May when his prices gained 30 percent
and Gramm's dropped by an equivalent amount, Dole has been a hot favorite-only
dipping a little, and then recovering against Forbes's insurgency by mid-February.
The maximum size trading portfolio is $500.00, the minimum, $5.00.
Its creators at the University of Iowa College of Business Administration
argue that the justification for this futures market-aside from its use
as a teaching tool-is that it is a more accurate predictor of electoral
outcomes. In real polls, they say, voters don't have any incentive to tell
the truth, but investors in their winner-take-all pool do. As for real
life traders, maybe this is the place to take a break from porkbellies or
FX futures.
There are around 4,000 players and numbers are growing fast. Other IEM
markets allow you to bet on the direction of a basket of computer stocks
or on upcoming elections in British Columbia and Austria.
Yes, you read that right. Austria. You got a problem with that?
Newsgroups
news:misc.invest.futures
Newsgroups used to be the heart of the Internet-the gathering place of
enthusiasts, hobbyists and specialists in thousands of different topics.
To the sophisticated and the initiated, the value of the groups depended
on who was there.
Well, sad to say, the only derivatives-based newsgroup is like a bad
cocktail party-all kinds of people you don't want to meet. Well, not entirely:
there is the slim possibility that the one interesting-looking person you've
not talked to may turn out to be the Albert Einstein of Futures. But don't
count on it.
The real creeps are the growing number of hustlers using this medium
to peddle their web pages urging individuals to part with money for trading
systems, newsletters, tip sheets and other offers you can't refuse. These
wires to commercial home pages now comprise about three quarters of all
entries. Example: "Re: 40% Return/Yr Guaranteed-Free $100 Report-Free-Seth
Jackson." Occasionally an individual will stray into the group with
a genuine question, or issue, but he'll be lucky to spark a discussion or
even get an intelligent response.
Economics
One of the boons of the Net is that it greatly expands an individual's
sources of information. For instance, a dealer at a bank can use it to find
different, perhaps better, ideas than those that come from the bank's economist.
And for corporate or institutional end-users whose companies have eliminated
in-house economists, here is a chance to access a rich array of expert opinion
on trends and fundamentals. Check out the two we describe, and if you want
others browse in FinWeb (http://www.finweb.com/).
Morgan Stanley
http://www.ms.com/GEF/index.asp
Morgan Stanley's Global Economic Forum is a daily report from the firm's
entire economic team-including top Street economist Stephen Roach-calling
in from all the major financial centers. The writing is good, the coverage
amazingly broad. This high-level research, once restricted to institutional
customers, is available in real time (not yesterday's or last week's sample
archive). Pretty far out! Another BN (Benefactor of the Net) Award to Morgan
Stanley.
Deutschebank
http://www.webcom.com/~yardeni/economic.asp
Ed Yardeni, chief economist at Deutsche Morgan Grenfell/C.J. Lawrence,
is another long-time Wall Street figure with a strong following. Although
the material available to non-clients is far less than that from Morgan
Stanley's economists, his views and interpretations are substantially open
to Net users. His economic indicators segment is also kept up to date, and
there is an online chart room with graphics on inflation, the economy and
financial markets. Yardeni offers downloads of the last four Federal Reserve
Open Market Committee Meetings minutes, samples of Greenspan testimony before
Congress, the Fed Beige Book of Regional Economic Conditions and links to
forecasts from other sources around the globe.
Daiwa
http://www.dir.co.jp/
Investors in global markets can clearly use the Net to augment the data
and commentary they're already exposed to. The Daiwa Research Institute
site has clear and concise reporting on local economic conditions, stock
market and liquidity prospects and coming structural changes in the Japanese
economy. There is even a short essay on the adequacy of Japan's information
infrastructure. There are excellent up-to-date reports and latest-month
data on the Daiwa Bond, CB and Warrant Index backed up by colorful charts.
Nomura (http://www.nri.co.jp/)
and Nikko (http://www.nikko.co.jp/)
also have Net pages, and Sumitomo Bank Capital Markets in New York is reportedly
preparing a site strictly for derivatives.
'Zine
Applied Futures and Trading
http://ww2.hyperlink.com/aft
A zine, as every dude knows, is a digital magazine like the megapopular
HotWired. And yes, derivatives has its own zine as well: Applied Futures
& Trading. Opening pitch: "For those who are brokers, traders or
curious about futures then AFT is for you. Fawning advertorial is not for
us. Practical news, reviews, trading analysis is." The writer, editor
Patrick Young, is one straight-talking Brit. The zine is small but delivers
real value. Contents of the second issue are a cute news item on the post-Leeson
use of psychological honesty testing at Barings, an intelligent commentary
on the Daiwa scandal and the habit of traders at Japanese banks of losing
trading slips in the bottom drawer, plus good software and book reviews.
There is something for hard-headed quants, too-a 2,000-word essay with charts
on "A New Approach to Momentum Trading" by Juliette Clark, a trader
at the Bank of Scotland, which was published originally in the UK Society
of Technical Analysis Journal. Ms. Clark explains a method of measuring
momentum and combines it with a Bollinger band to generate trading and hedging
signals.
Foreign Exchange
There is an abundance of FX data on the net, ranging from simple end-of-day
currency conversions to more high-powered and computer-driven models. In
the latter category we've picked two:
Forex Watch
http://www.forex.co.uk/fxwatch/info.htm
Every five minutes Forex Watch updates four US dollar and three cross-rate
pairs, along with minor and major support and resistance levels for each-generally
a break from one level means it is headed for the next. There are also 15-
and 30-hour moving averages, which are updated during the day, and bar,
candlestick and technical charts. There is a bulletin board with a running
market commentary (one per half hour is the goal) and trading ideas, a market
overview, etc. Finally there is a trading systems page for short-, medium-
and long-term trades whose spreadsheet is continually updated with the up
and down trends pulsing in bold letters. Conclusion: Forex Watch gives good
value.
Olsen & Associates
http://www.olsen.ch/foreign/websvcs.asp
Olsen & Associates operates a real-time FX decision support system
for 84 currencies on a 24-hour cycle. After a no-cost and no-obligation
registration, you can get access to forecasting of directional moves, historical
analysis as a timing tool (to open and close positions), plus trading models
that crank out specific recommendations. Olsen arrives at a neat balance
between useful free information and a richer, fully supported proprietary
product. The Zurich-based firm has an impressive list of published papers,
and its gurus have worked on some pretty far-out stuff, like fractal approaches,
time deformation and a heterogeneous market hypothesis that looks at different
yet rational expectations of players. At least a dozen articles on these
and other topics can be viewed or printed out. So can the output of several
US-dollar-based currency models.
Futures Data
More than a handful of futures brokers offer an array of good statistical
information that they obtain from listed exchange data feeds. Here are a
few.
FutureLook
http://www.wp.com/futurelook/
FutureLook presents time-delayed and (if you sign the guest-book) real-time
intra-day charts on six major financial futures markets, each with very
good five-minute charts of sterling, deutsche marks, yen, Swiss francs and
the S&P 500. The system was developed to provide early warning and price-risk
management for investors. There is an excellent FAQ (Frequently Asked Questions)
section explaining the use of the analysis.
Jack Carl
http://jackcarl.com/
Jack Carl Futures offers a full range of daily settlement prices on more
than 30 active futures contracts. Its two market reports (daily and overnight)
cover financials, agriculturals, coffee and energies. It looks pretty good,
as does a calendar of upcoming economic events.
STA
http://wsi.smgi.com/sta/
STA, a commodity futures and options broker, offers free subscriptions
to a weekly economic report. But its best deal is access to special economic
reports, usually in chart or tabular form. This is a great place to get
recent statistics on the National Association of Purchasing Managers, consumer
confidence, consumer prices, housing starts, capacity utilization, inflation
and other indicators-all just a mouse-click away.
Prophet
http://www.prophetdata.com/
Prophet Information Services offers hundreds of daily updated and back-adjusted
futures black-and-white charts from 1959 onward. They cover bonds, currencies,
energies, indices, foods and grains, meats, industrial and metals, and UK
and other foreign markets. More specific data for spreadsheet writing on
37 different futures markets is available with an end-of-modem hookup for
a modest fee.
FSA
http://www.netaxs.com/~fsa/home.asp
Futures Software Associates presents spreadsheet performance summaries
of a score of money managers and funds, plus a free introductory subscription
to a futures market newsletter. Best of all is one of the most thorough
links to other sites of interest to futures traders and investors in derivatives.
Government
The main Federal Reserve has only dusty archival stuff to download, nothing
quick and immediate. But its deficiencies are made up by some of the district
Feds. The Federal Reserve of Minneapolis (http://woodrow.
mply.frb.fed.us/economy/index.asp) offers the Beige Book-which contains
national economic summaries, selected interest and exchange rate charts
in color, plus industrial and money supply data. Economic forecasting is
the strong suit of the Federal Reserve of Philadelphia (http://www.libertynet.org/~fedresrv/),
home of the Livingston Survey of Economists and the Survey of Professional
Forecasters. From a trading standpoint an excellent site was the Chicago
Fed (gopher://gopher.greatlakes.net:2200/11/partners/ChicagoFed/finance),
a site that has a plethora of daily quotes on CDs, commercial paper, corporate
bond yields, Eurodollar deposits, FX, money supply, etc.
The two regulatory bodies affecting derivatives have pages that I'd grade
B-. The SEC (http://www.sec.gov/)
is standard fare: annual reports, enforcement actions, speeches by top brass,
press releases, new regulations and the unique link to its EDGAR data base
of corporate 10-K filings. A similar table of contents is available at the
Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) (http://www.clark.net/pub/cftc)
with a little more emphasis on enforcement actions. This site also boasts
a pretty good publications and reports section, which includes summaries
of no-action letters and weekly advisories. Fannie Mae (http://www.fanniemae.com/) has a little
more current data on the housing and mortgage markets, and various regional
outlooks for 1996. It has some good explanations of risk and returns on
collateralized mortgage obligation (CMO) investing.
Listed Exchanges
Surfin' aficionados of futures and options soon learn that the listed
exchanges are some of the more concrete places one can visit. Granted their
pages are not without occasional puffery and phony virtuality, but by and
large these are islands of credibility in a cyberspace that, in many parts,
is awash with trivia and junk. The characteristics of these sites follow
a pattern. After the logo scrolls by, with sometimes painful slowness, there
are typically click-on boxes for: (1) exchange history; (2) contract specs;
(3) recent press releases; (4) a lineup of exchange personnel; (5) other
sites of interest; (6) statistics. However, there are many ways to skin
a web site, which can be seen in the following sketch of their differences.
American Stock Exchange
http://www.amex.com/
Here the derivatives focus is on options on traded index baskets, with
special fanfare for the three-month old Inter@ctive Week Internet Index-including
a chart backcasting the index to early 1994, plus a list of its component
net companies. More information is available via links to Investors Advantage
(www.shares.com) that gives 15-minute delayed quotes on all stocks in this
index, plus their 10-K filings. Investors Advantage publishes a handful
of online brokerage reports covering components of the index. Soon this
will be the place anyone can e-mail some high powered academics and Street
gurus (photos and bios provided) with questions about options strategies
and the Internet. Net-hype aside, this exchange confines option market quotations
to end-of-day total market statistics, plus closing prices on three different
series of individual company puts and calls: the Amex 10, 15 and 25 most
active series.
Bolsa Brasileira de Futuros
http://www.embrate.net.br/infoserv/bbf/index.asp
Exchange history and contracts traded. Trading statistics coming soon.
Chicago Board Options Exchange
http://www.cboe.com/
Education seems to be the main mission of the CBOE on the net. The home
page is wired to a demo of its Options Toolbox, an educational software
program, and also to the site for its Options Institute, plus an Understanding
Options section. A "What's New" section has data on LEAP seminars
around the country. By the standards of some rival exchanges, CBOE's trading
data is minimal. It is limited to day-end data totalled for all products,
with breakdowns for all equity LEAPs, and its primary market indices like
the S&P 100, 500, 500 LEAPs, FT-SE, Russell 2000, Nasdaq 100, plus a
variety of sector ones. There is no data on individual equity options. A
site called The Virtual Visit is a disappointing collection of fuzzy, small
stills of the trading floor.
Chicago Board of Trade
http://www.cbot.com/
Among the best CBOT offerings are ten-minute delayed quotes (day and
evening sessions), daily reports, financial and agricultural calendars,
settlement prices and catastophe insurance options data. In a sponsor section
called MarketPlex there is an impressive array of freebies from various
sources like the US Department of Agriculture, the Managed Futures Association
and Knight Ritter. We sampled two and they were good: CHARTWATCH and Griggs
& Santow. The former contained research reports and charts (complimentary
for the present) on Treasuries, Eurodollars, deutsche marks, Swiss francs,
Japanese yen, sterling and the S&P 500. Also thrown in: various currency
trading models. A sample of Griggs & Santrow's Trade Talk, covering
a Chinese-restaurant-size menu of choice topics, seemed solid stuff. Surfers
with lottsa time to waste might try the CBT's tedious virtual reality software
download, but after five minutes we quit.
Chicago Mercantile Exchange
http://www.cme.com/
Technically this is one of the most advanced offerings of any exchange
on the Net. After opening videos of the market, there is a good cache of
statistics including historical volume and open interest charts, membership
prices and ten-minute time-delayed quotes from the floor. A flash quote
service is updated every 10 minutes for most futures contracts and every
15 minutes for agricultural and financial products. All daily settlement
prices on agriculturals go up at 2:00 p.m., currency and interest rate contracts
by 3:00 p.m., the rest by 4:30. Also on GLOBEX after-hours trading there
is a ten-minute delayed update. Here, too, one can find the Associated Press'
wrap-up of grain and livestock market activity.
Coffee Sugar & Cocoa Exchange
http://www.csce.com/
Intra-day futures contract prices are provided via Quote Watch for coffee,
cocoa, sugar, cheese and milk contracts. Via a hook-up with INO, there are
intra-day, daily and weekly charts on CSCE contracts. The exchange's most
intriguing offer: a download of SOFTSwareTM, an "interactive options
strategy software for beginners and experts alike" in English or Spanish.
There are plans to add Japanese and Portuguese soon.
Hong Kong Futures Exchange
http://www.hkfe.com/
Pretty minimal page, but it has nice graphics: pie and bar charts showing
trading growth and distribution of investors.
Kansas City Board of Trade
http://www.kcbt.com/
Daily price summary information on natural gas, wheat and Value Line
futures and options contracts. A sub-site that is unique: "How to find
the perfect Kansas City restaurant." One criticism this exchange is
the only one that provides archival trading data offline, and for money.
It comes in a $35 disk.
London International Financial Futures Exchange
http://www.liffe.com/
Arguably the largest mother lode of on-line data from any options and
futures exchange. Here, for example, is the lineup of statistics: 1) contract
records in table form; 2) volume and open interest charts; 3) time and sales
(tick-by-tick data); 4) end-of-day price histories; 5) daily information
sheets; 6) settlement prices. In addition, the publications section has
extensive coverage of articles and periodicals on interest rate products,
equity products and technology. A handful of the articles are online. LIFFE
also has a Net data feed with settlement data that can be integrated into
a PC-based system. Although the exchange claims this service is not intended
to replace its standard method of data distribution, for some users it
could be a good substitute.
Minneapolis Grain Exchange
http://www.mgex.com/
A small but well-designed page for punters in wheat and shrimp. In the
"What's New" section, the MGE has a hotwire to INO's MarketVoice
in RealAudio. If you want to hear pundits' scratchy voices through your
computer, talking about stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, energy and
metal, and financial futures, this may be an offer you can't refuse. So,
too, might be the exchange's heavy sales pitch for buying the cheapest seat
in the world, at $13,500.
MATIF
http://www.matif.fr/
(Marché à Terme International de France)
Good boilerplate stuff on GLOBEX, which MATIF uses along with the CME.
Current trading statistics are sparse. There are data tables only for the
latest month-sometimes weeks late-all of 1995 and historical activity. Downloadable
archival material on contracts, trades and prices are also available.
MEFF RENTA FIJA
http://www.meff.com.es/
This site was outstanding for its slowness of access, and tepid hotwires.
This Spanish fixed-income and financial futures and options exchange-the
fastest-growing in the world, they say-offers educational material on local
interest rate markets. Statistics include latest end-of-day data on government
bond and MIBOR futures. Files of historical data are also available.
New York Cotton Exchange
http://www.nyce.com/
A sparse but effective home page with intra-day data on citrus, cotton,
FINEX and NYFE contracts. Historical data can be downloaded and unzipped.
New York Mercantile Exchange
http://www.nymex.com/
Black-and-white pages have an austere look. There is an "audio welcome"
(requiring RealAudio) on the home page. Statistics on energy, financials
(Eurotop 100) and metals provided via INO and S&P COMSTOCK feature intra-day,
daily and weekly spreadsheets and charts. Other offerings: file downloads
for on-line natural gas trading via Channel 4, and NYMEX's after-hours electronic
global trading system.
OM Group
http://www.omgroup.com/
This electronically linked marketplace links OM Stockholm and the London
Securities & Derivatives Exchange via OM CLICK technology. Aside from
the usual background on contracts and trading volumes (yesterday's quotes
on various equity options contracts) there is a free online educational
program with fictitious option trading capabilities.
Philadelphia Stock Exchange
http://www.libertynet.org/~phlx/
This a pretty static site, lacking end-of-day or time-delayed quotes.
There are colorful 50/150-day moving average charts of various PHLX sector
indexes. The site also offers "The Dorsey Reports," a regular
in-depth commentary with trading ideas (sample available) for securities
professionals who make contact via e-mail. One unusual feature: hotwires
to several business school sites.
How Useful is the Net?
Now let's tackle the $64,000 question: how useful is the Net to someone
in derivatives? That depends on where he or she is sitting. Much of the
trading data on the Net will have little appeal to someone at a Wall Street
derivatives desk (where it's 100 percent better and in real time). A graduate
student in finance, however, may find it invaluable. The same is true of
online mathematical engines like NumaWeb or Robert's Option Pricers: they
may be very low-tech for Wall Street, but clearly serve some of the needs
of academics and corporate/institutional end-users.
Even seasoned pros who are steeped in data and bombarded with economic
assessments and forecasts every day can use the Net to explore and probe
for new knowledge of markets, instruments and exchanges. To be sure, it
is unlikely they will experience that moment of inspiration where they see
"THIS IS SIGNIFICANT" before them in blinding lights, but they
will probably find that knowledge of the world and of markets will be deeper
and richer and keener.
My quest in derivatives has taught me one thing, however: as the Net
expands from its small base of academics and newsgroups it continues to
preserve its characteristic openness even in the commercial world of derivatives.
Rudyard Kipling said, "It is better to travel than to arrive."
That's true even on the Net. You need to believe in the journey, the quest,
to relish the idea that these early days on the Net are the start of a world-transforming
phenomenon-and go on believing it even when a session's immediate returns
seem barren.
Okay, piece by piece the information I accessed was not overwhelmingly
significant. Cumulatively it is a tremendous equalizer. I feel smarter and
hipper. I'm glad I made the trip.
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